It ultimately took an extraordinary set of circumstances to clear the way for the reunion, but after three years of hemming and hawing (and the headlines-grabbing ouster of Les Moonves), CBS and Viacom have at long last agreed to a merger. The deal will bring together the CBS, Showtime, MTV, Nickelodeon and Paramount Pictures brands, among many others, under a single entity known as ViacomCBS.
In effect, today’s agreement undoes the 2005 split engineered by Viacom Chairman and CEO Sumner Redstone, which in turn pulled apart the 2000 merger of the broadcast and cable assets. At the time, that initial amalgamation of assets was valued at $44 billion; by comparison, today’s ViacomCBS is worth about $30 billion.
Of greater importance to shareholders, however, is how ViacomCBS stacks up against the other power players in the media space. As much as the consolidation is a necessary step in trying to remain competitive with the rest of the playing field, the new company still doesn’t enjoy the sort of scale that will allow it to go toe-to-toe with the likes of Walt Disney Co. and its $248.4 billion market cap, AT&T ($255 billion) and Comcast ($198.5 billion). Which brings us to item No. 1 in our roundup of What This All Means:
Shari Redstone is going shopping
The chairwoman of the board of directors has a shortlist of properties she’d like to acquire in order to bolster ViacomCBS’s standing in the media market, and among the most likely targets are Discovery ($15.2 billion cap); Sony Pictures, which boasts an estimated market cap of around $34 billion and includes the eponymous TV studio and the Columbia theatrical arm; and AMC Networks ($2.9 billion cap). The Spanish-language network Univision is also a possibility, as CBS over the past few years has sniffed around the property, which is now said to be on the market at fire-sale prices.
Discovery is perhaps the best fit for the new conglomerate, as newly installed ViacomCBS President and CEO Bob Bakish has a demonstrable interest in the Scripps Networks, which include HGTV and Food Network. Discovery in 2017 outbid Viacom and Bakish for the Scripps assets, so it’s unlikely that his fascination with the lifestyle networks has abated in just two years. One hangup of such a scenario would involve the sort of role Discovery CEO David Zaslav could expect to play in Bakish’s C-suite, although Redstone and the board could be able to finesse the inherent redundancies by appointing Zaslav the head of all international business.
Flexin’ on the ‘Flix
If scale is the primary driver behind the union of the CBS and Viacom assets, the long-term vision is all about gearing up for the incipient streaming battles. If it’s to compete in the same arena as Disney+, HBO Max, Apple TV and NBCUniversal’s developing OTT service, CBS needs more content to bulk up the ad-supported CBS All Access and Showtime’s direct-to-consumer offering.
In the near term, All Access may diversify its slate of originals and library content (“Star Trek: Discovery,” “The Good Fight,” “Twin Peaks”) with scores of Viacom’s younger-skewing programming. All told, ViacomCBS boasts a library of 140,000 episodes of TV and another 3,600 film titles, many of which (“The Godfather,” “Chinatown,” the “Star Trek” pictures) are likely to find a home at the Showtime OTT platform.
None of which is to say that the new company’s streaming products is going to take Netflix out at the knees. With some 152 million subscribers scattered across the globe, Netflix is still king, queen and jack of the OTT space. But the more premium content ViacomCBS can offer subscribers, the better its chances of finding a niche among the second tier. (At present, the CBS and Showtime OTT platforms serve in the neighborhood of 8 million subscribers, with projections boosting that headcount to some 25 million by 2022.)